Mitt Romney is ahead, or in a statistical tie, for the lead over his Republican rivals in the four key early voting states.
A new CNN/Time/ORC International poll shows Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, in a commanding position in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida.
Some details:
--Iowa, the nation's first caucus state. Romney has 24 percent, followed by businessman Herman Cain at 21 percent. Texas Rep. Ron Paul is next at 12 percent.
--New Hampshire, the nation's first primary state. Romney has long led in polls, and has 40 percent. Next is Cain, at 13 percent.
--South Carolina, the nation's first Southern primary. Romney has 25 percent, Cain has 23 percent, and Paul is at 12 percent.
--Florida, the first big state primary. Romney leads with 30 percent, trailed by Cain at 18 percent. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Texas Gov. Rick Perry are tied at 9 percent each.
The polls were taken Oct. 20-25. The methodology:
In Florida, a total of 1,184 adults were interviewed by telephone. All respondents were asked questions concerning their registration status and basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of the state. 401 respondents reported that they were registered voters who were registered with the Republican party; results for Questions 1 and 2 were based on answers provided by those 401 Republican voters. Only registered Republicans can participate in the Florida presidential primary.
In Iowa, a total of 1,294 adults were interviewed by telephone. All respondents were asked questions concerning their registration status and basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of the state. 405 respondents reported that they were registered voters who were registered with the Republican party; results for Questions 1 and 2 were based on answers provided by those 405 Republican voters. Only registered Republicans can participate in the Iowa presidential caucuses.
In New Hampshire, a total of 881 adults were interviewed by telephone. All respondents were asked questions concerning their registration status and basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of the state. 211 respondents reported that they were registered voters who were registered with the Republican party; another 189 reported that they were registered as "Undeclared" and also reported that they had voted in the New Hampshire presidential primary in 2008, for a total of 400 potential Republican primary voters. Results for Questions 1 and 2 were based on answers provided by those 400 respondents. Registered Republicans and registered independents (undeclared) can participate in the New Hampshire presidential primary.
In South Carolina, a total of 861 adults were interviewed by telephone. All respondents were asked questions concerning their registration status and basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of the state. 287 respondents reported that they were registered to vote and described themselves as Republicans; another 113 respondents reported that they were registered to vote and described themselves as Independents who lean Republican, for a total of 400 Republican voters. Results for Questions 1 and 2 were based on answers provided by those 400 Republican voters. South Carolina has no party registration.
To read more about the poll:
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/10/26/poll-romney-at-or-tied-for-top-spot-in-first-4-states-to-vote/