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June 07, 2008

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Chris Baker

I can envision a compromise Status of Force agreement that would be satisfactory to both the US military commanders, the US Congress and the Iraqi parliament. I would start with the premise there should be no US bases, only joint US-Iraqi bases. Then the question becomes who is going to defend those bases in the event they are attacked by rockets or mortars? Does the Iraqi government envision Iraqi politicians should have a committee to decide what to do, or do they think the bases have to be defended immediately - no matter who or what country attacks them?

Then is it simply a coincidence that Turkey, Iran and Syria are all blocking rivers that flow into Iraq, or do they somehow have dreams of occupying some Iraqi natural resources? Iran is bombing Iraqi territory and Turkey is practically invading. Syria apparently has claims on Iraqi territory.

US military commanders are probably looking for the realization that Iraq can't get along with an Iraqi army that has to beg Americans for food and ammunition, together with some obsolete tanks and helicopters and perhaps now some French military equipment. Iraqi politicians strutting around bashing Bush's proposed Status of Force agreement is expected, but eventually the Iraqi government has to develop a plan to establish a modern military. With that plan the Iraqi's can determine the necessary role of the US military, if any.

However right now nobody is volunteering to assist Iraq to stand up a modern military except the US, and probably the Russians. The French have their own political problems. The Iraqi government needs to grasp the opportunity while they can.

JohnOsborneNY

Leila Fadel ... is the current Status of Forces Treaty between Iraq and the US in force and passed as federal law by the Iraqi Parliament currently? Secondarily, does al Jaafari actually think his support of it will be key to bringing him back to power? How do you see this? JohnOsborneNY

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