As a journalist it's a question that's so hard to answer. How many have died in these four years due to violence? In 2006 the medical journal, Lancet, estimated that excess deaths in Iraq due to the war were 654,965, 2.5 percent of the population. Iraq Body Count, which tracks civilian deaths, puts the number of documented deaths between 72,596 and 79,187. For a reporter it is difficult to know.
The official numbers differ if you can get them and numbers leaked to us from Iraqi ministries are incomplete pictures. This week a poll by the British market research company, Opinion Research Business, put the number at 1,220,580 deaths that were not natural causes, since the 2003 invasion.
According to the poll one in two households in Baghdad has lost someone. One in two households.
Can you imagine? If you haven't lost someone, than your neighbor has. The next most deadly provinces were Diyala and Ninewa in the north, notable because both Baghdad and Diyala are inhabited by both Sunnis and Shiites. The Sunni Anbar province, Shiite Karbala in the south and Irbil in Kurdistan were not included in the poll.
Among those polled 22.002 percent of people had lost at least one person in their household due to a non-natural cause. Five percent of them lost two people, one percent lost three and less than one percent lost four or more.
One thing peaked my interest, nearly half of the people polled who'd lost someone in their household said it was due to a gunshot wound. While the military has touted the drop in car bombs as a major victory, they only account for 20 percent of the deaths. While 48 percent of people were shot and killed. The murder rate implies sectarian violence.
I thought back to a media luncheon with a U.S. General earlier this week. I sat down and the American General asked the media to please change the perception that Sunnis and Shiites were killing each other in Iraq. He asked that when we go back to the United States we try to change that perception.
I couldn't believe it, doesn't he know? Sunnis and Shiites don't necessarily hate each other in Iraq but right now they have no choice but to fear each other. The fear is oppressive in Baghdad. If you're a Shiite and don't agree with the Mahdi Army, there is little you can do. To express your dismay is a death wish.
Sunnis have told me that in the past they didn't question Sunni extremists that controlled their neighborhoods; at least they protected them from Shiite militias. The fear is very real. Our Iraqi staff, both Sunni and Shiite, are friends. But the Sunni man does not visit the Shiite man in his Mahdi Army neighborhood, he knows it could be his end.
Shiites don't stroll through Sunni enclaves of Baghdad and Sunni son-in-laws in and his Shiite in-laws often can't visit each other in this divided city.
I told the General this and he asked me how I could explain some of the Sunni and Shiite marriages he'd come across.
Maybe he could explain to me the high divorce rate among Sunnis and Shiites. They were once common place here and now very few people inter-marry. Maybe he could explain to me why Sunnis map their routes to avoid Shiite neighborhoods and vice versa. Maybe he could explain to me the fear I feel every day for my staff and for myself.
Iraqis are not barbaric and all Sunnis and Shiites don't hate each other, but right now the fear trumps all. No one wants to end up a corpse on the side of the street. This is the reality that we report everyday. This is the reality.
Not Enough Yet
To some that may sound uncaring, but plz let me explain. The way to truly end this horrible,needless war lies in the OIL.We all know that. So act on it. Actions creat reactions good and bad. Action 1: Build a fortifcation wall around the largest oil feilds and most important structures for processing and delivering this most coveted liquid other then water. Action 2: Pull all hated US troops behind these walls. I'm sure that half the troops there can do that job so send the rest home to silence the war critics. Now Action 3 Iraqi's are not gonna like but they are the ones that can disolve it. Action: 3: Allow the civil wars and the atttacks till they see that such (actions) only hurt them. It's been going on for centuries so how are the Americans gonna convince them to stop. Mission Impossible. This is still action 3 now so stay with me. While allowing these tribal shite sunni wars and a little bin ladin mixed in to continue while Iraqi oil is sold on the market and the money put into a fund. Let that fund grow and grow cause these muslim cival wars can last decades. Action 4: Is the most important. Return this huge sum of money when the Iraqi people relize that it will be to their benefit to end the senseless atrocities they're befalling on they're own brothers and sisters. Minus a fair sum to the US for all the billons wasted. A fair sum should silence the American tax payer whom the US government is supposed to be working for. The rest returned to the Iraqi people for reconstruction or however IRAQI'S wanna spend it other then weapons for first strike capabilities. Defense weapons should be allowed to a point. Iran must not be allowed to prosper over all the death they caused in Iraq. So eliminate them from every equation pertaining to the reconstruction of Iraq's leadership be it dictator or western style government. I am 99% sure the dictator style will prevail. This dictator must show he is for every style of Iraqi person presently in Iraq. All that money will help Iraq become a MODEL NATION for others to follow.
Posted by: Black32zx | October 27, 2007 at 09:15 AM
Has a reporter ever asked GWB if he thinks that 80,000 (600K, 1 million) deaths is worth the mission (whatever it is at the moment)?
I'd like reporters to ask him repeatedly about these numbers.
Also, we, the American people, should constantly be reminded of the deaths of EVERYONE, not just the American GIs. There's a difference in hearing every day of a war that has cost 4000 lives and hearing that the war has caused a million deaths (or 80,000).
Fourth estate: It's up to you.
Posted by: Joe | November 09, 2007 at 05:25 PM